In terms of the Longs success: if coin flipping contest one had asked after their first win, Now what is the probability of you winning again the answer is straightforward: just 10 out of 17 million, like everybody else. .
And last, but not least, because it is entirely in the interests of Camelot, or any other gambling company, to make the improbable seem more attainable.There was also a lot of delight at the sheer improbability of the t most people find it hard to think clearly about probabilities beyond tossed coins and rolled dice, so how likely was their win really, and where did the 283 billion to one.But yesterday, it was all over the news that David and Kathleen Long, from Scunthorpe, won the Euromillions raffle for the second time in their lives.The Longs won the Euromillions Millionaire Raffle twice.However, what if I have delta coupon codes november 2014 already rolled one dice, seen that it was a six, and then ask what is the probability I will roll a double six overall? .But what happens when the probability question is given a vaguer specification?No, because we understand that its a bit more complicated than that, primarily because millions of people play the lottery.Our question was simply underspecified: the probability of what, exactly, are we asking about?After all, they did, didnt they? .5 could have come up twice, 4 could have come up twice, and. .Well, one in one.Take this example: "What is the probability that somebody wins a lottery twice at some point in the next year, after buying some quantity of tickets?" The probability here would be small but nowhere near as teeny-teeny-tiny.On how many weeks did they buy these tickets? .What was the probability that the Longs won the Euromillions raffle twice?Not just "it could be you" but "it could be you twice".Theres another problem as well, which arises because making probability judgements after the whole thing has happened is, in essence, dodgy. .Camelot said that the probability of this happening was 283 billion to one.
Lets go back to the dice.